Prediction Updated: Sunday January 12, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Featherweight
Aljamain Sterling 44 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Bantamweight
Merab Dvalishvili 56 |
| RATINGS Fighter ratings and rankings are relative to respective weight classes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 95 | Performance | 99 | A+ |
| B+ | 89 | Power | 99 | A+ |
|
B
|
87
|
Offensive |
99
|
A+
|
|
B+
|
90
|
Defensive |
92
|
A-
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Performance | 1 |
| 21 | Power | 2 |
| 26 | Offensive | 1 |
| 20 | Defensive | 17 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-5 (76.2%) | Overall | 12-2 (85.7%) |
| 0-2 (0%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 2-0 (100%) |
| 13-4 (76.5%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 9-2 (81.8%) |
| 3-1 (75%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 3-0 (100%) |
| 3-2 (60%) | Last 5 Fights | 5-0 (100%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Bantamweight #11 Petr Yan (10-4) 2022-04-09 UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie Round 5 S-DEC | Best Win | Bantamweight #2 Umar Nurmagomedov (6-1) 2025-01-18 UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Round 5 U-DEC |
| Bantamweight #62 Raphael Assuncao (12-7) 2017-01-28 UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Pena Round 3 S-DEC | Worst Loss | Bantamweight #35 Ricky Simon (8-5) 2018-04-21 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee Round 3 SUB Guillotine Choke |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 6 (28.6%) | Finishes | 1 (7.1%) |
| 2 (9.5%) | KOs | 1 (7.1%) |
| 4 (19%) | Submissions | 0 (0%) |
| 9 (42.9%) | Decisions | 11 (78.6%) |
| 158-97 | Opponent Record | 95-62 |
| 33.8 | Average Opponent Rank | 30.6 |
| W 9 | Long Streak | W 12 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 12 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| L 2024-12-07 Featherweight #2 Movsar Evloev (9-0) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura |
W 2025-01-18 Bantamweight #2 Umar Nurmagomedov (6-1) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
|
| W 2024-04-13 Featherweight #52 Calvin Kattar (7-6) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill |
W 2024-09-14 Bantamweight #4 Sean O'Malley (10-2) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC |
|
| L 2023-08-19 Bantamweight #4 Sean O'Malley (10-2) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley |
W 2024-02-17 Bantamweight #42 Henry Cejudo (10-4) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria |
|
| W 2023-05-06 Bantamweight #42 Henry Cejudo (10-4) Round 5 S-DEC UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo |
W 2023-03-11 Bantamweight #11 Petr Yan (10-4) Round 5 U-DEC UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Bantamweight TJ Dillashaw (13-5) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
W 2022-08-20 Bantamweight #30 Jose Aldo (14-8) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards |