Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Illinois
Arizona
|
98
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Illinois
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
97
A+
6099
|
Defensive |
98
A+
6099
|
|
Illinois
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Future) |
98
A+
|
Illinois
Arizona
| 10 | Overall | 2 |
| 6 | Power | 2 |
| 11 | Offensive | 5 |
| 19 | Defensive | 14 |
| 9 | SoS (Current) | 7 |
| 9 | SoS (Future) | 7 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Arizona 71%, Illinois 29% at Arizona.
Arizona's win probability against Illinois has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Illinois has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Arizona's win probability against Illinois has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Illinois | Neutral | At Arizona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 28% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 1 | 12% | 17% | 24% |
| Wk 2 | 17% | 24% | 33% |
| Wk 3 | 33% | 42% | 52% |
| Wk 4 | 44% | 54% | 64% |
| Wk 5 | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 7 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 8 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 9 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 10 | 56% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 11 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 12 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 13 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 14 | 55% | 65% | 74% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 16 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 17 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 18 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 20 | 55% | 65% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
Illinois
Arizona
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
28-9 (75.7%) |
Overall |
36-3 (92.3%) |
|
14-3 (82.4%) |
Home |
16-1 (94.1%) |
|
7-2 (77.8%) |
Away |
9-1 (90%) |
|
5-9 (35.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
12-3 (80%) |
|
16-9 (64%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
28-3 (90.3%) |
|
12-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
Illinois
Arizona
| #5 Purdue | Best Win | #4 Connecticut |
| #24 UCLA | Worst Loss | #20 Texas Tech |
| 58 pts vs #284 Jackson St | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #54 Oklahoma St |
| 14 pts vs #1 Michigan | Largest MOD | 18 pts vs #1 Michigan |
Illinois
Arizona
| 83.2 | Points per Game | 86.2 |
| 68.8 | Points Against | 69.4 |
| 86.1 | Home PPG | 89.6 |
| 65.8 | Home PA | 64.4 |
| 84.8 | Away PPG | 83.8 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 75.9 |
| 786-493 | Opponent Record | 833-499 |
| 77.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 77.1 |
| W 12 | Longest Streak | W 23 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Illinois
Arizona
| Apr 4 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L62-71 | Apr 4 | #1 Michigan (37-3) | L73-91 |
| Mar 28 | Iowa (25-13) | W71-59 | Mar 28 | #5 Purdue (30-9) | W79-64 |
| Mar 26 | #6 Houston (30-7) | W65-55 | Mar 26 | #11 Arkansas (28-9) | W109-88 |
| Mar 21 | VCU (28-8) | W76-55 | Mar 22 | #21 Utah St (28-7) | W78-66 |
| Mar 19 | Penn (17-12) | W105-70 | Mar 20 | LIU Brooklyn (24-11) | W92-58 |
| Mar 13 | #22 Wisconsin (24-11) | L88-91 | Mar 14 | #6 Houston (30-7) | W79-74 |
| Mar 8 | at Maryland (13-22) | W78-72 | Mar 13 | #12 Iowa St (29-8) | W82-80 |
| Mar 3 | vs Oregon (12-20) | W80-54 | Mar 12 | UCF (21-12) | W81-59 |
| Feb 27 | vs #1 Michigan (37-3) | L70-84 | Mar 7 | at Colorado (17-16) | W89-79 |
| Feb 21 | at #24 UCLA (24-12) | L94-95 | Mar 2 | vs #12 Iowa St (29-8) | W73-57 |
vs
College Basketball