Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 2 (Sep 8), 2026-27: Susquehanna 38%, Johns Hopkins 62% at Johns Hopkins.
Susquehanna's win probability against Johns Hopkins is trending up — from 32% to 38% over the last 6 updates.