Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Lander 43%, CSU East Bay 57% at CSU East Bay.
Lander's win probability against CSU East Bay is trending up — from 34% to 43% over the last 6 weeks.