Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 1 (Sep 15), 2026-27: New England 58%, Houston 42% at New England.
New England's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 37% to 44% over the last 6 updates.
New England's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 44% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
New England's win probability against Houston is trending up — from 51% to 58% over the last 6 updates.