Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 2 (Sep 8), 2026-27: Newberry 30%, Colorado St-Pueblo 70% at Colorado St-Pueblo.
Colorado St-Pueblo's win probability against Newberry is trending up — from 59% to 70% over the last 6 updates.