Islam Makhachev
Arman Tsarukyan

UFC Fight Simulator

Prediction Updated: Monday December 8, 2025

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Simulation Results

Welterweight
Islam Makhachev

68
CHANCE TO WIN

Percent chance each fighter has to win
Lightweight
Arman Tsarukyan

32
NOTE: Fighter ratings and rankings are relative to respective weight classes

RATINGS

A+
99
Performance
A+
99
A+
99
Power
A+
99
A+
99
Offensive
A+
98
A+
98
Defensive
A+
97

RANKINGS

1 Overall 2
1 Power 2
1 Offensive 3
3 Defensive 5

RECORDS

17-1 (94.4%) Overall 9-2 (81.8%)
5-0 (100%) Versus Current Top 10 2-1 (66.7%)
16-1 (94.1%) Versus > .500 Fighters 7-2 (77.8%)
1-0 (100%) Versus < .500 Fighters 2-0 (100%)
5-0 (100%) Last 5 Fights 4-1 (80%)

SUPERLATIVES

Lightweight #2 Arman Tsarukyan (9-2)
2019-04-20 UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Round 3 U-DEC
Best WinLightweight #9 Charles Oliveira (24-11)
2024-04-13 UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Round 3 S-DEC
Islam Makhachev has not lost to any currently ranked opponents.Worst LossLightweight #18 Mateusz Gamrot (8-4)
2022-06-25 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
Round 5 U-DEC

OTHER STATISTICS

11 (61.1%) Finishes 5 (45.5%)
3 (16.7%) KOs 4 (36.4%)
8 (44.4%) Submissions 1 (9.1%)
6 (33.3%) Decisions 4 (36.4%)
198-106 Opponent Record 117-61
21.5 Average Opponent Rank 32
W 16 Long Streak W 5
W 16 Current Streak W 4

LAST 5 FIGHTS

W
2025-11-15
Welterweight #5 Jack Della Maddalena (8-1)
Round 5 U-DEC
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
W
2025-11-22
Lightweight #32 Dan Hooker (14-9)
Round 2 SUB Arm Triangle
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
W
2025-01-18
Lightweight #27 Renato Moicano (12-7)
Round 1 SUB D'Arce Choke
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
W
2024-04-13
Lightweight #9 Charles Oliveira (24-11)
Round 3 S-DEC
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
W
2024-06-01
Lightweight #37 Dustin Poirier (22-9)
Round 5 SUB D'Arce Choke
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
W
2023-12-02
Lightweight #29 Beneil Dariush (17-7)
Round 1 KO/TKO Punch
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
W
2023-10-21
Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3)
Round 1 KO/TKO Kick
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
W
2023-06-17
Lightweight #50 Joaquim Silva (7-5)
Round 3 KO/TKO Punches
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
W
2023-02-11
Lightweight #5 Alexander Volkanovski (14-3)
Round 5 U-DEC
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
L
2022-06-25
Lightweight #18 Mateusz Gamrot (8-4)
Round 5 U-DEC
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot

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